The United States claims that ‘conflict in space is not inevitable’

On April 18, the U.S. Vice-President committed the United States to “not conduct destructive direct-ascent anti-satellite missile testing.”

The context surrounding the statement by Harris, who also chairsthe National Space Council, suggests it is more than a political commitment. The declaration was expressed in “clear and specific terms.” It was also preceded by the claims that the U.S. “will lead by example” and “be a leader in order to establish, to advance, and demonstrate norms for the responsible and peaceful use of outer space.”

Under international law, “declarations publicly made and manifesting the will to be bound” can create legal obligations. In this case, the U.S. issued a unilateral declaration, which has both tremendous political impact and legal effect.

The U.S. declaration must be read in light of theongoing multilateral exchanges on reducing space threats through norms, rules, and principles of responsible behavior, and the upcomingOpen-Ended Working Group on reducing Space Threats. It will be of interest to see whether other countries will join the U.S. in making such declarations.

Groundbreaking, but not unprecedented

For decades, countries have expressedconcern about an arms race in outer space, and underlined that the placement of weapons in outer space that would pose a “grave danger for international peace and security.”

In the early 1980s, the then-General Secretary of the Soviet Union, Yuri Andropov, announced that Moscow would not “be the first to put into outer space any type of anti-satellite weapon.” Andropov issued a “moratorium on such launchings for the entire period during which other countries, including the United States, will refrain from stationing in outer space anti-satellite systems of any type.”

Since 2014, the vast majority of countries have voted in favor of a United Nations General Assembly resolution thatupholds their political commitment to not be the first to place weapons in space.

Even so, several anti-satellite missile tests have been conducted over the years,most recently by Russia in late 2021. The wanton creation of debris by these tests has been said to have greatly “increased risk to the sustainability & stability of outer space and human space flight.”

Language matters

Although the latest declaration from the U.S. is welcome, the commitment is to not conduct the testing of anti-satellite missiles from Earth. Nothing suggests that the U.S. has also committed to not using direct-ascent missiles, and there is nothing about the testing or use of weapons in space or weapons from space.

There is also alarming silence on refraining from other methods of disabling, disrupting, or destroying space objects through, for instance,electromagnetic or cyber means.

Theproposed Treaty on the Prevention of Placement of Weapons in Outer Spaceaims to prohibit the placement of any weapons in outer space and prohibit the threat or use of force against space objects,but it has been opposed by the U.S. and others.

Peace in space

From basic functions such as global communications, positioning, and navigationto the monitoring of changing weather patterns, and alleviating food and water shortage, space applications are integral to modern life. The consequences of the disruption or destruction of even a part of the space infrastructure that isso crucial to civilians, industry, and militaries are unimaginable.

Placing or using weapons in outer space would increase the probability of conflict. The weaponization of outer space is not inevitable — rather, “it is a choice.”

International space lawplaces constraints on the testing and use of anti-satellite weapons and the disruption of radio frequency signals. The law also limits other ways of causing unwanted interference with the space operations of other countries.

It is encouraging to note that on the same day as the vice-president’s commitment, the White House in its press release announced that “[c]onflict or confrontation in outer space is not inevitable.”

The benefit of all

Space is a global commons, “available for all to use.” According to the1967 Outer Space Treaty, space must be explored and used “for peaceful purposes” and “for the benefit and in the interests of all countries.”

TheMcGill Manual on International Law Applicable to Military Uses of Outer Spaceis theworld’s first manual clarifying international law applicable to military uses of outer space during peacetime.

By clarifying the limitations international law places on the threat or use of force in outer space, it is hoped that the McGill Manual will further the belief that conflict in space is not inevitable.

The U.S. unilateral declaration has provided the opportunity to work towards preventing the spread of conflict into outer space. It has also provided the momentum for other countries to reaffirm their commitment to explore and use space in a safe, responsible and sustainable manner.

Article byKuan-Wei Chen, Executive Director, Centre for Research in Air and Space Law,McGill University

This article is republished fromThe Conversationunder a Creative Commons license. Read theoriginal article.

Story byThe Conversation

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